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Lewis McGrillen vs Rafael do Nascimento

2026-07-18 22:00 UTC  ·  Every surveyed bookmaker price for this fight, averaged and stripped of the margin — two honest numbers that total exactly 100%.

SkipOdds Index · fair probabilities · 5 books
Lewis McGrillen71.5%
Rafael do Nascimento28.5%
Fair odds: McGrillen 1.40 · Nascimento 3.50 Bookmaker margin removed: +6.8%

How these numbers work

Bookmaker odds overstate both fighters — the margin ("vig") is baked in, so the two implied probabilities add up to more than 100%. MMASeek averages the surveyed prices for each fighter and removes that margin, leaving the SkipOdds Index: the market's honest opinion of the fight. A forecast, not a tout.

All fights on the live board  ·  Get this data from the SkipOdds API