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Aaron Noriega vs Leonardo Baez

2026-10-17 15:00 UTC  ·  Every surveyed bookmaker price for this bout, averaged and stripped of the margin — two honest numbers that total exactly 100%.

SkipOdds Index · fair probabilities · 23 books
Aaron Noriega94.1%
Leonardo Baez5.9%
Fair odds: Noriega 1.06 · Baez 16.97 Bookmaker margin removed: +3.9%

How these numbers work

Bookmaker odds overstate both fighters — the margin ("vig") is baked in, so the two implied probabilities add up to more than 100%. MMASeek averages the surveyed prices for each fighter and removes that margin, leaving the SkipOdds Index: the market's honest opinion of the fight. A forecast, not a tout.

All fights on the live board  ·  Get this data from the SkipOdds API